Revisions

Every draft keeps its own address.

Draft 2 · latest 2026-10-16 · After a review of facts and project rules: several figures and their caveats corrected (Messi's rate, the near-crash and inattention figures), Diane Vaughan credited for the normalization of deviance, METR's note on harder tasks added, and the margin argument made conditional.

Draft 1 is not published on this site.